So , We Are All Going To Get This

[Rathgar]

So , from listening to all these scientists, it seems like we are all going to get this virus - the first round goes through now, and when we go back out we are all going to get it.
Has anyone come to another conclusion?

 

[Guitarist41]

I’ve read 50%, but you have to also take into account any potential vaccine, treatment, etc happening.

 

[Cuchculan]

Not everybody in China got it. Nor South Korea. The main thing is, this just won't stop. You need something to stop it. Vaccine. But there is none. That could take up to a year or even longer to find one. So it will always be there. But with time they will learn more about it. It is new to everybody. So they need to study it. Find out loads of different things about it. Then hope by doing so a vaccine can be made. But this is not going to happen over night. Bit like finding a new tribe of people in the middle of nowhere and handing them all computers. At first there will be confusion. Trying to figure out what this new thing is. Then they learn about this new thing. The more they learn, the more they can control.

 

[Larii]

I doubt it'll happen if people protect themselves. And until there's solid proof this virus is completely gone I'll still be cautious. My country is currently on lockdown yet theres still people roaming around outside, I think the moment everyone takes it seriously is when it should gradually get under control.

 

[martingalindo]

lockdown can work but depends how hard the lockdown is how hard we will slow the virus or even stop it
If we have an R0 similar to 1 we will eventually get it (all of us) or can not because when some virus go to someone who already have it, thats it, its stop there.
Also if R0 is lower than 1, then.... whe can stop it. Let say we put 0,8 R0
We got:
1 person infected so 0,8 will be infected
1000 active cases so then will be another 800 persons an this persons go to 640more and then 512, 410, 328, 262, 200, 167, 134.... eventually zero new cases. so yes we need to put R0 down to slow it